Search results for "Real Option"
showing 10 items of 21 documents
An alliance timing game under real options in biopharmaceutical industry
2014
Biopharmaceutical alliances and competition: a real options game approach
2013
CORPORATE VENTURE CAPITAL AND THE PROBABILITY TO ACQUIRE THE BACKED START-UP: A REAL OPTION PERSPECTIVE
2017
To sustain their competitive positions, an increasing number of corporates access new knowledge and technologies from emerging start-ups by engaging in Corporate Venture Capital (CVC) investments. CVC investments provide corporates the option to in-source start-ups’ knowledge and technologies through follow-on acquisitions. However acquiring a backed start-up is not always a guarantee of success. Then, corporates should consider which are the most appropriate conditions under which it is beneficial to acquire a CVC backed start-up. Utilizing the theoretical lens of Real Option, we examine the conditions under which a CVC investment may evolve into an acquisition of the backed start-up. We p…
Valuation of Barrier Options in a Black-Scholes Setup with Jump Risk
1999
This paper discusses the pitfalls in the pricing of barrier options approximations of the underlying continuous processes via discrete lattice models. These problems are studied first in a Black-Scholes model. Improvements result from a trinomial model and a further modified model where price changes occur at the jump times of a Poisson process. After the numerical difficulties have been resolved in the Black-Scholes model, unpredictable discontinuous price movements are incorporated.
How does disruptive innovation influence the funding decisions of different venture capital investors? An empirical analysis on the role of startups'…
2023
Entrepreneurs present their ideas in a favorable light through compelling communications that may shape the investors' impressions about the value of the startup's technology and its potential to disrupt. Assessing such communications, venture capital (VC) investors get an impression of the startup's technology and shape their willingness to commit resources to it. Since diverse kinds of VC investors pursue alternative investment objectives, they may develop different impressions of the startup's technology and accordingly make different resource commitment decisions. This paper aims to investigate the resource commitment decisions of VC investors when financing startups communicating disru…
Value based trading of real assets in shipping under stochastic freight rates
2009
The article uses a real options valuation model with stochastic freight rates to investigate market efficiency and the economics of switching between the dry bulk and the tanker markets in international shipping. A dry bulk carrier is replaced with a tanker when the expected net present value of such a switch is optimal from a real options based decision rule. Depending on the development of the markets a reversal may take place later. The cost and demand parameters upon which the decisions to switch are made, including the stochastic characteristics of freight rates, are estimated from an empirical analysis that is updated every week throughout a 12-year time period from 1993 to 2005. The …
Corporate Venture Capital follow-on investments: the role of co-investors
2018
CVC investments allow corporates the option to internalize startups’ knowledge and technologies through follow-on investments. Since acquiring a backed startup is not always a guarantee of success, corporates should consider which are the most appropriate conditions under which it is beneficial to acquire the startup. Under the theoretical lens of Real Option theory, we examine the conditions under which a CVC investment may evolve into different kind of CVC follow-on investments. We suggest that the CVC characteristics that mitigate both endogenous and exogenous uncertainties positively affect the corporate’s decision to acquire a backed startup. In addition, we argue that the presence of …
Risky choices in strategic environments: An experimental investigation of a real options game
2019
Managers frequently make decisions under conditions of fundamental uncertainty due the stochastic nature of the outcomes and competitive rivalry. In this study, we experimentally test a theoretical model under fundamental uncertainty and competitive rivalry by designing a sequential interaction game between two players. The first mover can decide either to choose a sure outcome that assigns a risky outcome to the second mover or to pass the decision to the second mover. If the second player gets the chance to decide, she can choose between a sure outcome, conditioned by the assignment of a risky payoff to the first mover, or the sharing of the risky outcome with the first mover. We then int…
A real options game of alliance timing decisions in biopharmaceutical research and development
2017
Abstract In this article we examine the alliance timing trade-off facing both pharmaceutical and biotech firms in a stochastic and competitive environment. Specifically, we introduce a real options game (ROG), where a pharmaceutical company can choose between two competing biotech firms by sequentially offering a licensing deal early or late in the new drug development process. We find that, when the alliance raises the drug market value significantly, the agreement is signed late in the drug development process. This suggests that the postponement effect implied by the use of real options prevails over the biotech firms’ competition effect, which would instead play in favor of an early agr…
Circular Economy and Value Creation: Sustainable Finance with a Real Options Approach
2021
This paper presents a methodological proposal that integrates the circular economy concept and financial valuation through real options analysis. The Value Hill model of a circular economy provides a representation of the course followed by the value of an asset. Specifically, after the primary use, the life of an asset may be extended by going through four phases: the 4R phases (Reuse, Refurbish, Remanufacture and Recycle). Financial valuation allows us to quantify value creation from firms’ asset circularity under uncertainty, modelled by binomial trees. Furthermore, the 4R phases are valued as real options by applying no-arbitrage opportunity arguments. The major contribution of this pap…